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Midday Update

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Midday Update

·         The dollar is well off its highs, but money flow has generally been out of the broader commodity complex, contributing to weakness in the grains ahead of today’s USDA crop report.

·         The key numbers in that report were as follows:

South American Production

Argentina

Brazil

Corn

Soybeans

Corn

Soybeans

Yield in bushels per acre

Production in billions of bushels

USDA February Report

23.00

56.00

75.00

94.50

    Pre-Report Estimates

Average Trade Estimate

22.54

55.58

74.56

94.67

Highest Trade Estimate

28.50

59.50

76.00

96.50

Lowest Trade Estimate

21.20

54.40

72.80

93.00

Previous USDA Estimate

22.00

55.00

75.00

95.50

Water Street Solutions

22.50

55.50

75.50

94.50

 

U.S. Ending Stocks

2014-15

Wheat

Corn

Soybeans

billions of bushels

USDA February Report

0.692

1.827

0.385

Average Trade Estimate

0.689

1.879

0.398

Highest Trade Estimate

0.730

2.002

0.440

Lowest Trade Estimate

0.595

1.817

0.356

Previous USDA Estimate

0.687

1.877

0.410

Water Street Solutions

0.697

1.817

0.369

 

·         Corn futures are down 3 cents.

·         Soybeans are down 3 cents.

·         Wheat futures are down 5 to 6 cents.

·         Live cattle futures are steady to 55 cents lower.

·         Feeder cattle are $1.60 to $2.00 lower.

·         Lean hog futures are generally 45 to 75 cents lower.

 

All opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of Water Street Advisory. This data and these comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. There is significant risk of loss involved in commodity futures and options trading and may not be suitable for all investors.

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Arlan Suderman | Senior Market Analyst
WATER STREET ADVISORY® | www.waterstreet.org
(316) 729-4599 | asuderman@waterstreet.org

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information contained in this report is intended for informational purposes only and is the opinion of the writer and may change at any time. This information was compiled from sources believed to be reliable but accuracy cannot be and is not guaranteed. There is no warranty, expressed or implied, in regards to this information for any particular purpose. There is SIGNIFICANT RISK involved in trading futures and or options on futures and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should consider these RISKS and evaluate their suitability based on their financial conditions. No one should ever consider trading futures or options on futures with anything other than RISK CAPITAL. This information is provided freely and is NOT in the capacity of a trading advisor. NO LIABILITY on the part of the author exists for any trading loss you may incur in the use of this information. Information provided is not to be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any commodity or security named herein.

The information contained in this e-mail message is intended only for the personal and confidential use of the recipient(s) named above. This message may be an attorney-client communication and/or work product and as such is privileged and confidential. If the reader of this message is not the intended recipient or an agent responsible for delivering it to the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that you have received this document in error and that any review, dissemination, distribution, or copying of this message is strictly prohibited. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by e-mail, and delete the original message. Water Street Solutions is an equal opportunity provider. Water Street Solutions is an equal opportunity employer.

 

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