Today we should see no new precipitation statewide. While we would like to say that sunshine is able to come in and take control, it is clear that clouds and cool air are going to make a return to full sunshine difficult in the short term. We won’t rule out some sun today, and we have better chances in central and southern Indiana, but still, there will be plenty of clouds to contend with. But we should not see any significant moisture or precipitation around. Tomorrow we see some sun and clouds up north while clouds increase in southern Indiana. That increase will come in advance of our next system to impact the region. A strong storm complex is exiting the southern plains today and will throw moisture into the Ohio Valley tomorrow night. We see rain from US 50 southward tomorrow that can total .25”-.5” with 90% coverage. Then, we will allow for some spits and sprinkles up to the I-70 corridor with 30% coverage. We have no rain in the forecast tomorrow night north of I-70. All precipitation is done by sunrise Saturday or before. The map above shows cumulative precipitation potential through Saturday morning.
The weekend is dry, both Saturday and Sunday. Clouds will mix with sun both days, but clouds will increase quickly Sunday afternoon. A cold front sweeps through the state from the northwest Monday, and has the potential to bring .1”-.7” of rain with 90% coverage. This moisture will linger into early Tuesday morning. Clouds dominate the rest of the day Tuesday.
Partly sunny and dry weather will be in at midweek next week for Wednesday and Thursday. Temps will be above normal still. There is a chance of a few sprinkles Thursday night overnight into Friday morning, but they will only have about 30% coverage statewide. The trough will feature more of just a shift in winds.
Dry for the balance of Friday, but then the pattern gets more active as we move into the 11-16 day period and temps fall. Rain is expected for Saturday the 12th through Sunday the 13th, and as cold air advances, there is a pretty good chance of that moisture turning to snow. Right now, we are looking at .1”-.5” moisture potential, bur some snow chances on Sunday. Then we stay cloudy and cold for Monday, but precipitation free. Light snow is back for Tuesday the 15th, minor accumulations likely, and then a strong winter storm for the 17th, with moderate to heavy rain in the south, and potentially good accumulating snow in the north. Between the two, we won’t rule out some sleet and freezing rain. That storm looks impressive, with the best snow accumulation over the northern third of the state…but it also is 15 days out…so there is plenty of time for the track or storm intensity to change. We will be watching it. We turn out partly sunny, but stay cold for the 18th.