The rain was impressive, even more than expected over the weekend. From Friday through yesterday, we saw rains from 1-2 inches all the way up to some private totals of 4-5 inches! The strong low provided plenty of wrap around moisture, and that will be holding on over Ohio through the next two days. The forecast here in Indiana is interesting. Today we see some lingering clouds still rotating through on the backside of the Low as it slowly moves away. However, we do not see as much moisture lingering here, so at this time, we expect just a mix of clouds and sun through the day, but won’t rule out an isolated shower or two. That is all. Tomorrow we still see some north flow, but only clouds and sun again.
By midweek we are drier and see a better sunshine potential for Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front sags south into Indiana overnight Thursday night and may be able to bring a few hundredths to .3” to about 60% of the region from I-70 northward. South of I-70 we see nothing.
Friday is dry again, and we see the similar weather for Saturday and most of Sunday. However, overnight Sunday night into Monday we expect a large circulation to move across Indiana, bringing moderate to heavy rain. We can see half to 2” rain totals with coverage at 80% of the state in that Sunday night-Monday period. Clouds will be increasing through Sunday afternoon ahead of the system, which comes up from the southwest. The best threat of strong to severe weather will be in central and southern Indiana, but we won’t rule out some action late in the trek across the state in the northeast. The map above shows rain totals for the Sunday-Monday event.
Dry behind that system for Tuesday, and then a minor front still is on the way as we flip the calendar into August. However, the front is looking much less impressive, as we think it will lose a large chunk of energy and moisture to strong weather outbreak 36 hours prior to Sunday night. The chances of moisture may even drop further as we get closer to the even, depending on how that Sunday-Monday system evolves.
For the extended period, there is not much going on through the first couple of days as strong high pressure stays close by, but, late the 4th we see a system coming together in the western belt that will take a few days to push east. This will likely bring some half to 1-inch moisture potential back to the eastern corn belt for the 5th and 6th. High-pressure returns on the backside of that system.
Temps look to be normal to below normal the next few days and then sneak above normal late this week into the weekend. We cool off next week after the strong storms Sunday night and Monday.