We can see another damp feeling type of day today, as clouds hold over the state, but we should see much less moisture floating around in the atmosphere. Yesterday just yielded a lot more drizzle and spotty shower activity than anticipated, and today’s set up looks to have significantly less moisture to work with. In fact, most of our atmospheric moisture will be tied up in clouds. That is not to say we can’t see a spit or sprinkle in NE Indiana before the day is through, but generally, we are drier than yesterday.
Tomorrow we see a drier pattern working back in, with sunshine and lower humidity. That pattern holds through most of Thursday.
We still have a weak cold front sagging into the northern part of the state overnight Thursday night into early Friday, but moisture held by the wave is significantly lower. This will bring scattered showers totaling no more than a few hundredths to a tenth or two to 40% of the state north of I-70 in the overnight Thursday early Friday period. That forecast is lower on moisture totals and lowers on coverage than our previous look and we would not be surprised to see the front wither to nearly nothing by the time we get there. We see nothing south of I-70.
Dry weather back for the balance of Friday, Saturday and most of Sunday. We should see temps climb a bit over the weekend as south flow develops ahead of our next system.
Overnight Sunday night into Monday we see our next storm complex moving into the state. Models have started to have a bit more disagreement on timing and duration, along with strength. We are seeing signs of the track and speed mimicking our last system this past weekend, moving slowly across the eastern corn belt due to a strong upper-level ridge and high-pressure dome off the Atlantic coast. However, we are not making any changes to our forecast at this time, except to pull back on moisture for the Sunday night and Monday period. Right now, we are looking at a half to 1.5” and will pull coverage back to 70%. We are going to leave Tuesday and Wednesday dry this morning and challenge mother nature to give us a little more data. We will revisit the system tomorrow morning. We should be dry the remainder of the week.
We are leaving the extended period alone this morning. We have dry weather through the 4th, and then have a system coming together in the western belt that will take a few days to push east. This will likely bring some half to 1-inch moisture potential back to the eastern corn belt for the 5th and 6th. High-pressure returns on the backside of that system.