One more fully dry day over the state today. Temperatures will be rather warm in all areas, above normal by a good 5-6 degrees at least. We still look for the weekend to be mostly dry, but we are going to allow for scattered showers to arrive a little sooner. There could be some scattered shower action in as soon as tomorrow midday and afternoon. Rain chances linger through tomorrow night and into Sunday but will fall off fairly quickly. To be clear, we are not increasing our rain totals as all at this point…but rather just looking for the rain to start sooner, and therefore end sooner. We will put rain totals for the entire even this weekend at a few hundredths to no more than a few tenths. Most of the state will see .1”-.2”. Coverage remains at 60%.
Dry weather is back statewide still for Monday, and that dry pattern goes through Thursday. Temperatures will be normal to above normal for the period, and we should see good dry down leading to good fieldwork potential. However, we still have a stronger frontal system moving in to finish the week. Showers can develop at soon as Thursday night and hold through Friday, with secondary scattered action lingering for Saturday. Combined rain totals remain at .25”-1.25” with coverage at 90% of Indiana.
For the rest of the 11-16-day window we see a dry start to the week of the 4th, but still have a minor front working in around midweek that week, for the 6th. The front can bring up to half an inch of moisture with 70% coverage.
Tropical storm Alberto formed in the western Gulf yesterday and will move north into the weekend. We expect landfall somewhere from the western FL panhandle over to New Orleans. However, the storm is not expected to be strong. It will bring heavy rain to the Deep South and the Lower Delta, but should not throw a lot of moisture up our way. As our front draws closer later in the week next week, any lingering moisture from the tropical storm may enhance the precipitation coming with the front, but that should be where we see our interaction with the tropical event start and stop.
