Rain moves through the state today, starting this morning in the northern tier counties, and sweeping slowly through the rest of the state through the day. WE like coverage of 80% on the moisture today. Rain totals will be mostly from .25” to .5”. We will allow for a few localized areas in north central and NW Indiana to maybe poke above the top end of that range if we see rains start sooner or hold on longer. But, in general, we like that rain range over the state. Action will be east of the state by sunrise tomorrow. The map above is estimate of total precipitation potential through this evening. We think the southern spread will be better, and the rains near the MI line will not be quite as heavy.
Clouds will be a big part of the forecast tomorrow as we transition on the backside of the system. But, the clouds are likely gone by mid to late afternoon and we should see the coolest air behind the front tomorrow night. That will lead to the potential for some upper 30s again in over the northern part of the state, but nothing serious should come of it.
Dry then from Friday right on into the following Friday. We only have one little disturbance to watch for Sunday, as a low pressure center passes by to the north over the great lakes. There may be some clouds in for Sunday, but we are not calling for any precipitation at this time. That means we should see 8 days of dry weather from tomorrow through next week before our next front arrives. That should allow for serious harvest progress.
A large scale system moves in late next week for Friday the 4th and it will have its biggest impact on the state the 5th into the 6th. We are keeping our rain totals at .25”-1” for now, as the system still has some development to go through. We look for this front to bring in much cooler air behind it for several days, but this likely will not be the big pattern change we have been talking about. We think that comes later in the week after next…closer to Veterans Day.