A weak batch of moisture moves in over the state today, coming up around the backside of high pressure that moves off the east coast. This will bring plentiful clouds, and also a chance of some minor precipitation. Moisture will be limited to a few hundredths to about 2 tenths maximum, with coverage at about 50% of the state. WE really would like to keep the state dry in our forecast, but that just is not going to be able to come together. Still, most of the moisture will be limited to this afternoon and evening, and will be gone by tonight.
Dry weather is back tomorrow and will hold through the weekend and early next week. Another strong high pressure dome will move in, bringing cooler air to start and then warmer air up the backside. Overall, even with the cooler air tomorrow, temps will still be above normal right on through this 7 day period. Dry down will be excellent with full sun and nice breezes. Temps may make a run at freezing underneath the core of high pressure overnight Friday night into Saturday…that will be where the coldest, sinking air will be under the high.
Our next system to watch arrives next Tuesday, initially with a minor warm front. That front brings a few hundredths to a quarter of an inch with 50% coverage for Tuesday. But, as the low moves through Wednesday, we see better rain totals move in and much better coverage, with rains of .25”-.5” Tuesday night through Wednesday and coverage at 80%. This system will usher in strong north winds and much colder air behind the system for the start of the 11-16 day forecast window.
Those strong north winds will take temps to below normal levels next starting next Thursday and will keep a cool pattern in place into next weekend. Some models are trying to suggest a bounce in temps to normal and above normal levels as we move closer to thanksgiving. However, we are not in that camp. We look for temps staying normal to below normal through the last 10 days of November.