Rain and thunderstorms are back today, as expected. The only chances we are making to the forecast today is a division in rain totals. The heaviest rain and strongest thunderstorms look to hit the southern half of the state more than up north. So, we are going to keep rain totals at .25”-1” over the northern half of the state but raise totals for southern Indiana to half to 2” for today into tomorrow morning. We really feel most of the precipitation is done and will not bother us tomorrow, but clouds can linger, and with that, we can’t rule out a spit or sprinkle here and there. Most of the state will be dry for Saturday. Rain coverage today will be nearly 90%.
Dry weather is here for Sunday, and the first half of Monday is dry too. Clouds will be on the increase from overnight Sunday night through Monday midday.
Rain kicks off again Monday afternoon and continues through Tuesday. We still are looking for this system to be a significant rain maker, but the scope of the heaviest rains may not be quite as broad. We are keeping our rain totals at a half to 2-inches for the event this morning but think the 2-inch part of the range will be somewhat limited. There will be several strong thunderstorms or lines of storms, but outside of those areas, the rains look much more manageable. Rain coverage remains at 80% of the state or better. The map above shows the combined potential rain totals through next Tuesday.
Dry conditions will follow that system into the state for 5 days, from Wednesday through Sunday. In the extended period, we are trending a bit drier this morning. We see only one good rain threat now, as the early event has merged with a faster arriving second event. So, rains can develop around the 29th and 30th, and trigger .25”-.75”spots of rain with 70% coverage.
We see no reason to change our temperature outlook for the upcoming 10-day to 2-week period. We still think overall, we will have daytime highs near normal…perhaps slightly above to start the weekend, but then below during and behind the rains next week. Still, there is nothing really to talk about on the temperature side of the forecast.