Dry, cooler, and less humid air works into the state today behind the frontal boundary that finally cleared the state last night. This drier air will come with temps near to slightly below normal for late August over the majority of the state. We should see good drying in this time frame.
Scattered showers are back for Friday night, mostly after sunset, and they continue off an on through the weekend. How intense the showers are for the region really depends on the emergence of south flow over the eastern part of the country. With a strong south flow, we should see better rain potential. Without it, nothing more than hit and miss action is likely. We are going to slow the upper and lower ranges of our rains chances this morning to a few hundredths to a quarter on the low end, and three-quarters of an inch on the top end, with coverage at 60%. Models are pulling back this morning, but we are not taking out any precipitation. There is a likely skew in action over the 3-day period from Saturday through Monday to the northern part of the state, but we won’t rule precipitation out anywhere.
Dry for the balance of Tuesday through Wednesday and Thursday. We are pushing our next front back about a day or sow into later Friday, the 31st. We will leave rain potential at half an inch or less but will key on the pattern, which is trending drier. Any moisture in at months end will be largely hit and miss.
In the extended period, a stronger front is still on the way for Labor Day, bringing .25”-1” rain to about 80% of the region. No change in our temperature outlook for the area either, cool the next couple of days but then warming to normal and slightly above normal levels for the weekend into early next week.