Not much change in the forecast this morning. Ultimately, we probably are not quite as wet for the 10-day period combined, but even that is a very close statement. Today will be hot again, with plenty of sunshine and high humidity values. Temps will average a good 6-10 degrees above normal.
We still have rain moving in for tomorrow. We are bumping rain totals a bit, putting most of the state in the range of .25”-1”. We feel more strongly about thunderstorms and the potential for some heavier rain, so we will not be surprised to see some inch and a half totals, but they will be rather limited in scope. The map shows rain totals from the system for tomorrow.
The rest of the week still features a rather unsettled weather pattern, but even though we see a warm and humid setup, it may not trigger as much of a threat of pop up showers or thunderstorms. In fact, Thursday can be dry, save for a few showers early and into midday down in far southern Indiana, and Friday will be mostly dry too, with only a few hits and miss pop up showers. Saturday can bring some action into the northern part of the state closer to sunset, but that feature will be more of a Sunday precipitation maker, with showers over about 40% of the state. Better organization is in for Monday with showers again over 60% of the state. The entire 5-day period, from Thursday into early next week can bring .1”-.6” to about 60% of the state.
We are dry for next Tuesday and Wednesday, then have a weak front for next Thursday. Moisture again has potential, but the front is not all that impressive at this time.
For the extended period, we will keep an unsettled pattern from next Friday night on through the rest of the 11-16 day window. We can’t rule out showers any of those days and we see increasing chances and frequency of moisture as we move through the period. All told, we see a potential of an inch or more of rain combined through the entire 11-16 day window, and we may finish it out near the 11th with a strong cold front poised to move through.
Once again, this forecast is not quite as wet as yesterday, but with the heat, humidity and overall unsettled feel, don’t close the door on moisture yet. While this system for tomorrow is by far the biggest one we see in the next two weeks, it will not take much to ramp up action out of these more minor disturbances. Temps remain above normal through September 10.