Another dry day today ahead of what looks to be a bit of a wet weekend. Today we should end up with a mix of clouds and sun, although clouds will start to increase this afternoon and evening in southern parts of the state ahead of our next big weather system. This system is expected to have a very large geographical footprint, so clouds can show up long before any precipitation does.
We are pushing the initial batch of moisture off a bit this morning. We think we are able to stay dry in all areas through the overnight tonight. Rains start tomorrow morning in far southern Indiana, near the Ohio River. Then they spread north through the balance of the day, and we will see statewide rain coverage by sunset tomorrow. We have a chance of thunderstorms overnight tomorrow night, but we are seeing less of a risk of heavy rain in that period. Overall, combined rains from Saturday into early Sunday will be from .25”-1” with coverage at 100%. The map shows potential rain totals through Sunday morning.
Behind the front we turn very, very windy for Sunday. These winds will likely try and break up clouds over the region, giving at least some sunshine, but the winds themselves are going to be impressive. We expect winds to average 20-40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. Temperatures will be steady to falling through the day and that will make it feel much colder. We stay partly sunny and chilly for Monday and Tuesday with winds finally diminishing through the day Monday. Temps will be below normal. There still is a nice chance of snow over 70% of the state on Wednesday, bringing a coating to an inch or so.
Back to dry weather for Thursday of next week as strong high pressure builds in right over the top of us. Then we stay partly sunny and chilly for next Friday, Saturday and Sunday morning. Next Sunday afternoon and evening we are keeping our forecast open to allow for some scattered light snow showers that could bring minor accumulations. We are not married to this idea, but it looks like there can be a bit of a minor disturbance in there. For the extended 11-16 day window, we are pushing back our next event just a bit, looking at snow for the 7th of March, with accumulations likely. We turn much warmer behind that event, with temps above normal and breezy conditions likely for the 8th and 9th to finish out the extended forecast period.