The story remains the same this morning. Cold and mostly dry weather is expected over the next 10 days. We are even dialing back the few threats that we do see a little bit this morning. Today should feature partly sunny and chilly weather conditions, something that we see in most areas tomorrow as well. The only exception will be in far northern Indiana, where we can’t rule out a few flurries north of US 6. This potential comes out of a disturbance that moves across the Great Lakes at midweek. Really, we still look pretty good in most areas tomorrow, just chilly.
Thursday we still have the potential for scattered flurries or a snow shower from US 50 southward, but coverage looks significantly lower…only 30 of that area has a good chance, and that will be closer to the Ohio River. We should be partly to mostly sunny elsewhere.
We kick off a full 5 day dry stretch on Friday, with no precipitation potential through next Tuesday. However, we pay for it again with cool air, and temps remain mostly 10-15 degrees below normal. The map at right shows temperatures Monday morning as they relate to normal. Next Wednesday we have sun followed by increasing clouds, and that may lead to some flurries for Wednesday afternoon and evening from US 24 northward. Stronger winds develop with that system too. There is no precipitation threat for next Wednesday from US 24 southward. We go back to dry, cold weather for next Thursday through the following Sunday (10th). However, t emps do start to moderate that Sunday afternoon.
All of a sudden, the weather pattern goes active and very wet again for the last half of the 11-16 day period. Rains come for Monday the 11th and Tuesday the 12th, bringing totals of half to 2” and 100% coverage. That will be followed by another front for the 13th that brings an additional half to 2 inches. So, after nearly 2 weeks of dry weather, we get really wet with 1-4” rain potential combined right ahead of mid-month. Temperatures warm dramatically for those rain events.