No change in the forecast this morning. Dry today, and most of tomorrow. Rains start to build in over the state tomorrow night. Those showers continue through Thursday. Rains should fall in a range of .25”-.75” for the period, with coverage at 80%. A second wave of showers may threaten southern Indiana Thursday night through Friday, with an additional .25”-.33”, but coverage limited to about 30% of the state.
A strong front moves through the state for the weekend Saturday and Sunday with lingering action into Monday. Rain totals for the weekend likely end up in the 1-3” range with coverage at 100%. Models show potential of rains ending faster on Monday morning…but time will tell, and track of the low will be important. WE see potential for strong thunderstorms with this system.
Dry from late Monday through Tuesday. A minor wave of scattered showers works back in for next Wednesday. Rain totals mostly a quarter to a third of an inch or less, but we still will see some moisture, which means we are not drying. A stronger front moves in for later in the week. The map above shows 10 day potential rain totals.
That front arrives late next week into the start of the weekend for the 5th and 6th, with half to 1 inch of rain potential, A larger circulation follows in the middle of the extended window, for the 8th into the 9th. Rains of half to 1.5” are possible with some strong storms.
So, with 2 week rain totals pushing 4 inches or more and minimal dry days back to back through the period, this looks like a pattern that will bring planting to a grinding halt, and we may not be back at it in earnest until after May 15th. Colder air may try to push into the plains again this weekend as well, and that may bring temps down for early next week too, adding insult to injury.