A dry day today is expected with temps above normal over a large part of the state. AS the eclipse comes through today we should have good viewing weather over most of the state. There may be a few heat based thunderstorms that fire off over the northern third of the state this afternoon, but those still should be widely scattered and not constant.
A frontal boundary starts to work into the state tomorrow and will bring good rains to a large part of the state. We see the front sweeping through from NW to SE and our thoughts are unchanged on rain totals. We like .25”-1.25” rains over 80% of the state. These will be good, gentle rains in most areas, with the highest end of the range, limited to areas with thunderstorms. The map above shows cumulative rains through midnight tomorrow. Most areas that receive rain will be under half to three-quarters of an inch or so.
Dry Wednesday through the weekend and even through next Monday. High pressure will be in over the region and it will lead to lower humidity. However, we do not expect temperatures to fall off very far, and we should see mostly normal to above normal temps through the end of the month.
Our next system arrives Tuesday into Wednesday of next week. This is a little earlier than our projection last week, but rain totals look pretty similar. We see minor rains Tuesday and slightly better rains Wednesday, with coverage under 50% on Tuesday, and pushing 70% Wednesday. Combined, this system should bring .2” to .6” rain totals to about 80% of the state. Temps remain nearly normal.
In the extended period, we start out with high pressure coming in after the front for the 30th and 31st. But, a strong front now is showing development for around the 2nd to start off the Labor Day holiday weekend. Rain totals can be from .25”-1” with 75% coverage over the state. This front yields a dry Labor Day itself, and temps should stay normal to above for the remainder of the extended period.