Scattered showers and thunderstorms today will be the result of a cold front slipping into the region overnight last night. These rains coming early (in relation to our forecast last week) does mean, though, that we escape tomorrow’s holiday with no significant moisture! Rains today will end up bringing the best totals to the northern quarter of the state where we can see up to .5”. Farther south, a few hundredths to a tenth or two likely. Coverage up north will be around 70%, while coverage in central and southern Indiana will be closer to 30%.
Dry and sunny tomorrow with temps normal to above normal. Then we start to see our next front working on Wednesday. Rains likely do not develop until Wednesday midday to afternoon but look to hold through Thursday afternoon. Rain totals of .25”-1” will be seen over about 70% of the state, and if stronger thunderstorms can develop in central and northeast Indiana Thursday morning through midday, that could add another half inch to the larger totals. However, those strong thunderstorms are not a sure thing, and the timing is not in the most conducive period for strong convective development. The map above is a snapshot of potential action early Thursday morning.
Dry for Friday through the weekend and next Monday. WE should see good sunshine, good drying and above normal temps. Next Monday night and Tuesday, a weak front sweeps through the entire state, bringing rains of .1” to .5” with coverage at 80%. These will mostly be gentle rains, and should not bring a big thunderstorm threat.
The rest of the 10 day period shows dry weather for next Wednesday through Friday. The extended window keeps the state dry as well, with no strong fronts, and an upper-level ridge developing. Temps should move to above normal and well above normal levels in this time frame.