Moisture got started later yesterday afternoon, and that means we likely are going to prolong the track of showers across the state a bit today. Low pressure moves through the state today through midday, and we can’t rule out scattered showers today over the state. Rain totals do not look overly impressive but may add another .1”-.4” with coverage at 60%.
Dry tonight through Friday morning with sunshine dominating and lower relative humidity. Temps pull back a bit, but will still be normal to above.
Friday midday and afternoon we start to see a slow sagging front push into the state from the north. This will bring rains of .2”-.6” to about 60% of the state. The front moves through all areas of the state, but moisture looks to be somewhat fractured along the frontal boundary. Rain chances go from Friday afternoon through Saturday midday. The map shows a snapshot of action Friday evening.
Dry from Saturday night through the following week. Our next front in the extended window arrives for the 16th into the 17th and will have up to half an inch of rain. That front will be flanked on either side by strong high pressure and an upper-level ridge. That means we should see net drying through the period. In fact, this forecast is less wet than what we were seeing last week in the extended pattern, and if this forecast is realized, there probably will be some complaints quickly about “needing a drink” for the crop. Time will tell, and our full soil moisture profile will help, but it will not take long for the dry laments to come to the forefront, we think.