Light snow is exiting southeast Indiana this morning after minor precipitation worked in last evening and through the overnight. This may lead to some complaints this morning in the southeast part of the state, but by mid morning everything should be off to the east. Minor high pressure actually sweeps in quickly by this afternoon and evening.
Behind that high, light snow will try and lift into southwest Indiana overnight tonight into early tomorrow. While we still want to allow for a few flurries and some light snow up to I-70, honestly, the best snow potential will be south of US 50 and will be in the SW corner of the state. There we can see a few hundredths up to .1” of liquid equivalent, meaning a coating to an inch is possible. Coverage will be only about 30%. The rest of the state stays cold for Saturday and likely has to fight through a lot of clouds. But, there will not be any significant push for statewide precipitation.
Dry all of Sunday and continued cold. Temps will be pushing below normal later today and staying in that zone through the weekend and the first half of next week. So on Sunday look for a rather chilly afternoon.
Snows move back into the state for Monday and Tuesday. The best snows will be over the northern third of the state, but with below normal temps statewide, we will not rule out light snow activity anywhere in the state. The southern third has a better chance of rain mixing with snow, or even mostly all light rain, but even there, as overnight temps drop, it will be rather easy to see some snowflakes. The two day combined totals look to be anywhere from 1-4 inches over the northern third of the state (US 24 northward), a coating to an inch or two in central Indiana, and a coating to half an inch or so in southern Indiana with more rain mixing in at times. The track of this event may shift, so stay tuned Monday morning for any updates in totals and coverages.
Behind that system, we should start to moderate temps for the second half of the week. Dry weather will be in for Wednesday Thursday and early Friday. However, as south winds bring the warmer air, they also bring plenty of instability in ahead of our next front. That front is on track to hit late next week, from Friday afternoon into early Saturday. We look for rains from .1”-.6” with coverage at 80% of the state.
The extended period has no changes, with potentially 2 strong systems in the 11-16 day window. The first circulation is on track for arrival around the 19th-20th, and the second closer to the 24th.