Dry weather dominates the state for the next six and a half days! Clouds may be slow to break up in spots today, and temps remain on the cool side, but the pattern shows gradual improvement through the period, and most importantly – NO RAIN! Temps begin to tick upward over the weekend and the first part of next week should show temps at normal to above normal levels. Most of the state may be pushing the low to mid 80s by Tuesday.
Our next chance of precipitation works in starting next Thursday afternoon. We can see scattered showers off and on from there right through Friday and then again Saturday afternoon and evening. The coverage amounts to no more than 40% of the state on any of those given days, and moisture totals will range only from a few hundredths to perhaps .4”. So, while this is not a big deal, it may be enough to slow or shut things down for a bit late next week. This also signals a return to a more active pattern from next weekend on.
A front brings .2”-.5” rains for Sunday with 70% coverage. Then, for Monday through Wednesday (22nd through the 24th) we can’t get rid of scattered showers. Those may add another .2-.6” of moisture, even though daily coverage will be less than 50%. We don’t get to another dry period until after those rains.
Dryness develops for Thursday the 25th through Saturday the 27th, with warmer than normal temps and strong high pressure nearby. However, toward the end of the extended period, we see a strong system for the 28th-29th that brings rain in for the memorial holiday weekend. Rain totals can be half to 1 inch with coverage at 90% of the state.
Summarizing…this dry window we find ourselves in right now may be the best window of opportunity we get through the end of the month of May. Temps will be the biggest variable for ramping up drying in the short term. If we stay too cool today and tomorrow, then in all honesty, we may not see maximum evaporation rates hit until closer to Sunday. This is a case where the more sunshine we can see short term, the better off we likely will be.