Dry weather continues for most of the week, and temps return to above normal levels for the week as well, after a nice end to the growing season in many areas this weekend, where we saw a hard freeze. A dry cold front sits off to the west this morning and will sweep through by the end of the day tomorrow. From there, we see more sunshine coming in for Wednesday and Thursday. Our next front shows up on Friday.
That cold front is part of a very strong circulation that will past by to the north over the great lakes. We should see very strong winds ahead of this front from Thursday into Friday out of the southwest, bringing a final big push of warm air. But, those winds and warm temps will be indicative of the strength of the front that sweeps through, hooked into the strong low to the north. The best rain chances will be from late Friday afternoon and evening into early Saturday morning. We like rain totals of .25”-.75” with coverage at 80% of the state. We won’t rule out thunderstorms in the central and southern part of the state. The above map shows precipitation around midnight next Friday.
Behind the front much colder air is drawn in out of Canada. That cold air parks over the state for the weekend, and we likely see a lot of clouds in for at least Saturday. However, we should make it into the early part of the following week before our next chance of rain. WE like another weak front to push in just ahead of thanksgiving, for next Wednesday the 23rd. Rain totals do not look overly huge, with a few hundredths to at most a quarter inch possible. Coverage will be 60%. However, the timing will be such that moisture into the night time hours may yield a few sloppy wet snowflakes…especially over the northern part of the state. So, that will be something to watch for.
In the extended period, another front sweeps through late in the weekend after thanksgiving, mostly for the 27th. Rain totals can be up to half an inch with coverage at 70%. But, the rest of the extended window looks dry. Temps will stay cool, at normal to below normal levels through the extended period. WE have a nice flow patter than features more of an upper level trough over the eastern third of the country, so that should keep warmer air at bay, and put us into the normal to below normal range as we finish the month.