The coolest air leaves today, and we should see a return to south wind flow on the backside of high pressure that moves away. This will take temps back to normal levels today and above normal levels for the weekend. Dry, sunny weather will dominate today, tomorrow and at least the first part of Sunday.
On Sunday, a system will move into the great lakes, bringing rain to WI, MI and northern parts of IL. The rains stay out of the Hoosier state until late in the day, when they start to sag into the northern half to third of the state. Rains will be mostly light. However, wo do have a bit of concern about some thunderstorm action trying to develop in NE Indiana overnight Sunday night, which may boost rain totals there. Still, most of the northern half of the state will see a quarter inch or less, with coverage at about 60%. Rains are not likely south of I 70.
Dry for Monday and Tuesday. But, as next week rolls on, the pattern gets a little interesting A front start to back up to the northwest into the state for Thursday into Friday, and it can bring some rains from .25”-.75” to about 50% of the state, mostly in the south and east central parts of the state. Then, over the weekend, a strong circulation in eastern KY and western VA starts to throw waves of moisture back up into the OH valley first, and eventually a good chunk of the state. That means we need to keep our eyes open for another .25”-.5” of rain over the region for the weekend. A strong upper level ridge returns for the week after next. However, our concern is that the eastern KY event turns into more of a cut off low, like we saw a few weeks back, and that leads to a cooler, drier, more damp pattern. Time will tell, but for now, it is something we are monitoring.
The extended 11-16 day window looks mostly dry across the state, with temps staying near to slightly above normal. Have a great weekend.