Gradual improvement will be the name of the ballgame today. Rains have pushed off to the east, but residual cloud cover and cool air will be dominant today. This means we do not expect spectacular dry down conditions today, and in fact, we likely will keep cool weather and limited drying in for tomorrow. But…we do have rain free weather in right on through the first part of next week. Temps will begin to climb on Sunday and will spend most of next week above normal or this time of year, although not nearly as warm as what we saw this past week ahead of the rains.
Our next system looks less impressive in scope, with rains of .25”-1” possible. Timing is tough, though. Some models are speeding the system up a day, others leaving it the same. We are advancing our timing just a bit, bringing rain in next Wednesday to go with lingering action Thursday. Coverage remains at 60%. We think the speeding up of the system will also yield a dry Friday and then dry weekend next weekend
In the extended period, our front for the 3rd is on track, and it looks like it is just developing as it initially pushes in. New data suggests this system could slow and increase circulation over the eastern Corn Belt, which would bring a second wave of heavier rains in for later in the week around the 4th and 5th. For now, we will leave precipitation totals at .25”-1”, and coverage at 60%, although we will start to consider ramping coverage back up if this system holds with the current solution through the weekend. For now, though, there is no major change to our thought processes for the next 2 weeks, outside of timing of the midweek system next week.