Home Weather Ryan Martin’s Indiana Ag Forecast for October 4, 2016

Ryan Martin’s Indiana Ag Forecast for October 4, 2016


image002Well, clouds were disappointingly pesky yesterday in parts of the state, leaving sunshine at a premium. We look for today to be a little more equal in the distribution of sunshine. Our forecast is unchanged…looking for sunshine today, and a mostly dry period to hold through a good chunk of the rest of the week. Temps will be above normal today.

A little bit of dissention between different forecasts out there for tomorrow. Some are calling for rain to work through. We, however, continue to look for a weak trough to come through but precipitation likely will not be an issue. We think the best precipitation will rain itself out over the western Corn Belt today through the first part of tomorrow, and there will be very little, if any, moisture left to fall here. Now, one caveat stands with our overall moist set up we find ourselves in right now in some areas…with plenty of ground moisture allowing for a more moist atmospheric profile. We will admit that this little tidbit of info might allow scattered showers a better chance at development…but we also think chances of that are extremely low…and will continue to roll on with a dry forecast this morning.

AS temps rise Thursday, action heats up to the west, with scattered showers and thunderstorms threatening across IL. Still, we do not look for any of this action to push into the Hoosier state until later Friday afternoon. From late Friday through the overnight period, we can see scattered showers and a few thunderstorms around that can trigger .05”-.33” rain totals. Coverage still looks to be around 60-70% of the state. This will be a fairly quick moving front and will not linger.

Dry air is back for the balance of Saturday and will hold through the first half of next week. Our next front still is not likely to arrive until closer to the 12th or 13th at the earliest, and it may be delayed some, as a strong upper level ridge will try to dominate around mid-month. Following that front, we do return to a pattern that will feature another 4-5 day dry window. A strong hurricane off the southeast coast this weekend will aid in slowing the progression of fronts across the country, which supports our excellent harvest window forecast. The key to harvest comes down to how the next 3 days play out…and hopefully we get the sun to really help us.

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