Dry over the state over the next 3 days. Winter seems to be finally here, as temps are going to stay near normal. However, we are going to see even colder air coming later this weekend, and the weather pattern is going to get very active for the second half of the month. For the next 3 days, though, we have no major troubles. We should see sun each day, to varying degrees.
We are bringing our next system in just a little faster in our forecast this morning, arriving on Thursday. We see snow to start, but through the day, south winds bring warmer air into central and southern Indiana. We expect some of the light snow to try and switch over to rain. Areas that saw the biggest snows this past weekend will be in line to see some very wet snow again, while farther north, just some light snow and flurries will develop. Overall, we think moisture will be from .1” to .5” over 70% of the state. This so there is potential for a coating to a couple of inches of snow. The highest moisture totals will be in the southern third of the state, where we have the biggest rain potential.
We are dry for Friday. But, déjà vu strikes for this coming Saturday, as we have a system that looks almost identical to this past weekend’s system on its way. Like this past weekend, track will be very important to determine who gets the best snows, but liquid availability suggests we can see most of Indiana in a 2”-8” swath again. We will be watching the evolution of the system through the week and will hone our snow totals as we get closer to the event…but it looks to have good potential, and precipitation coverage could push 100% statewide. The map above is a very, very early look at this system…a lot can change before we get there.
That system brings significantly colder air into the region to finish the weekend and for next week. Temps dive to below normal levels, but we should be precipitation free for Sunday. That much colder air holds through Monday and Tuesday as well, with the state seeing mostly sunshine. By midweek next week, we finish out the 10-day period with another snow event, bringing 1-3 inches of snow potential to 80% of the state at least.
In the extended 11-16 day period, the cold air really gets reinforced with a polar push. We should be cold for next Thursday and Friday. However, snows bringing several inches of accumulation are likely for the weekend of the 26th and 27th, followed by another clipper system for Monday the 28th. These kinds of waves and disturbances will keep snow as a very active part of the forecast to close out January and begin February.