Dry today and tomorrow. A large part of the state will see sunshine, but clouds will interact, particularly in the morning, as we saw some fog develop overnight thanks to the snowpack over most of the state. Still, today will be mostly trouble free. We can’t rule out a few flurries and lake effect clouds up near lake Michigan. Clouds will begin to increase tomorrow ahead of our next system.
That system shows up Thursday. Temps will be cold enough for snow north of I-70, but we likely see mostly rain south of 70. Rain totals will up to .4” in the southern half of the state, while from I-70 northward, we can see a coating to 2 inches of snow for your Thursday. We catch a break in the action for Friday, with no new precipitation through the day.
A strong storm complex remains on track to hit on Saturday. We adjusted our snow thoughts on the system yesterday to 4”-10” over 100% of the state, and we are not changing them this morning. The system is going to hit us…the exact track is what we are looking to hone in on. Also, over the weekend we will see stronger winds, meaning we have to look for some blowing and drifting for the event. We still have a concern about some rain or ice mixing in over southern Indiana, but as we go through the day Saturday, colder air blasting in will eventually move all precipitation fully to snow. The map above is an updated look at snow potential. Significantly colder air comes in behind the system on Sunday, and will trigger additional light snow and flurries. We can see an additional coating to 2 inches of snow near Lake Michigan as the lake effect snow machine starts to crank up. The rest of the state will see only minor accumulations from any flurry activity.
Dry Monday and Tuesday, and very cold. We have heard of some other outlets that are touting minus 30-degree temps early next week for overnight lows. This is way overdone, and is pure sensationalism. We see some -10 to -15-degree lows Monday night, but nothing anywhere near minus 30. In fact, ND has only seen temps like that 1 time so far this year. It will be very cold for the first part of next week, but we are not going to feed you anything dramatic like that to gain headlines.
A midweek system next week comes as cold air stays. So, we think we can pick up snow next Wednesday. Overall, it looks to be a 2”-6” event, but we are going to try and divide it north vs. south. From SR 28 northward, we can see 2”-3” of snow, while 3-6” totals are likely from SR 28 southward.
Another leg of cold air shows up for the extended 11-16 day period, and it will allow plenty of additional snow to develop. We will be dry for next Thursday, but on Friday the 25th we can see a coating to 3 inches of snow from a nice organized frontal boundary. Additional snows are likely for the 26th and 27th with minor accumulations, and then a strong storm at the end of the month on the 30th brings potential for 3-6”. The second half of January is going to be very cold and very active…just like we have been talking since the turn of the new year.