Partly sunny and very cold here the next couple of days. This morning should be the peak of the cold air, but we stay exceptionally cold through tomorrow. There still can be some lake snows so long as north winds stay strong, but the chances of that diminish with time. We do see clouds develop on Friday as temps start to moderate, and those clouds now look like they can bring some snow to the northern half of the state…perhaps a coating to an inch with coverage at 60%.
We start to warm up Saturday and will be well above normal for temps on Sunday and Monday. Temps Sunday and Monday can be 20 degrees above normal or more. The map shows temps Monday afternoon – yep, you are seeing that right! After some areas staying well below zero for highs today, on Monday we will see some 50 and 60 degree temperatures! Crazy. We are pushing rain back a little more on Sunday now, meaning we should see a mostly dry weekend. Rain starts Sunday night and goes through Monday. Rain totals end up in the .25”-.5” range, which is a bit smaller than our thoughts yesterday. However, we make that up with more moisture coming Tuesday night and Wednesday. After a brief break in moisture Tuesday morning and midday, rain is back Tuesday night and goes through early Wednesday morning. Temps will be cooler than this weekend for sure, but should still be mild enough for all rain from this event, with totals of .25”-.75” and 70% coverage. We turn significantly colder Wednesday night.
Snow moves over southern Indiana for Thursday and may bring a coating to a couple of inches, while the rest of the state just stays cold and dry. Friday flips that script, with lake effect snows likely in the north and nothing in the south. Next Friday will be very windy and much, much colder.
The extended period remains consistent with snows for the 10th and 11th, and we continue to think there is good potential for moderate to heavy snow there. Then, at the end of the 16 period, we are looking at another system for around Valentine’s day that can also bring snow. After the warm up this weekend and early next week, we are back to below normal temps for the remainder of the forecast window.