Rain will be over the state through the day today. Parts of the state have already seen their heaviest action, as storms moved through overnight. This includes most of northern Indiana and west central parts of the state. Thunderstorms still have potential to hold on this morning in southern Indiana, but the threat decreases by early afternoon. WE see general light rain lingering over the state through sunset tonight. If we look at the total system, including the rains that fell last night, we are keeping rain totals at .25”-1.5” for the event.
Dry weather returns for tomorrow through Sunday morning. We see plenty of sunshine in the period, warmer temps, and building humidity. Still, though, it will be a good pattern for crop growth and development.
Scattered showers pop up in northern Indiana later Sunday afternoon, and the action pushes through the state south and east through the overnight. Moisture does not look to last as long, and most of Monday will end up being mostly dry. We may have to deal with a little bit of hit and miss action through Monday morning, but that is it. All told, for the Sunday late afternoon to Monday mid-morning period we can see .1”-.5” over 60% of the state. We will be dry Tuesday. The map shows cumulative rain chances through midweek next week. Most of what is being shown on this map comes through the rest of today!
A bit of a chance in our forecast for midweek. WE are now going dry for the Independence Day holiday and for Thursday as well. There just does not look to be enough moisture in the atmospheric profile to get too worked up about any front. In fact, we will trend drier for most of the 11-16 day period as well. We expect 1 front to try to develop somewhere in the period form the 6th through the 9th, but it will only have potential for .25”-.5” with70% coverage. Then a strong upper level high is slated to take over right on through mid-month.
Temperatures from here forward will be mostly normal to about 2-4 degrees above normal. Significant heat will not be a problem. But, after today, we also do not see exceptional rains coming. That will be helpful initially, as we need a bit of drying to work in to parts of the state, but as we move toward mid-July, the current pattern offers only timely small rains, and nothing to keep the status quo. So, we think that we will have significant net drying in our soil profile from later this week through the first half of July.