We have some additional moisture moving across the state today, after action started a little earlier than we were looking for yesterday. However, that’s not too big of a deal, because an earlier start should yield an earlier exit. That is already happening in northern Indiana. Today rains will be mostly from I-70 southward, where we can see from .25”-.6” with 70% coverage. North of I-70, we see clouds, but nothing more than a few spits and sprinkles, if even that. This will yield only a trace of precipitation in the north.
Sunshine is back for tomorrow and Wednesday. High pressure will actually be moving across the state of Michigan overnight tomorrow night and Wednesday morning, helping to cement sunshine into the forecast. We see at least a mix of clouds and sun holding into Thursday, but at that point we can’t completely rule out a scattered shower or two, but coverage will be limited to only 30-40% of the region, and we see no more than a few hundredths of an inch of actual rain.
We end up with better shower potential for Friday with scattered showers bringing .05”-.25” to 70% of the state. Southern Indiana likely does not see anything until late Friday evening through the overnight. Then Saturday better organized rains move through, bringing .25”-.9” with 90% coverage. We actually think rain coverage will be a full 100% of the state on Saturday, but 10% of the area probably can’t quite make it to the lower end of that rain range. We finish the weekend Sunday with clouds giving way to sun. The map shows total rain potential through midnight Saturday.
Starting the new month next Monday, we have high pressure and mostly sunny skies. The dry pattern is likely to holds through next Tuesday and Wednesday, the 2nd and 3rd as well, with only a small concern about a scattered shower or two on Tuesday. We are keeping our forecast rain free for the moment but will be watching closely.
The extended period gets a little more active. Rain is likely for Thursday the 4th, with .25”-.75” likely over 80% of the state. Scattered showers linger through Friday the 5th, with 60% coverage and amounts up to .4”. After a dry start to the following weekend, we have rain back form Sunday the 7th and Monday the 8th. Combined totals can be from .35”-1” over 100% of the state, although rains for Monday the 8th will be mostly from I-70 north. Drier weather completes the extended period on the 9th.
Temps through the next two weeks will be mostly normal. We don’t see any significant cold air coming except for this Saturday night, behind our rain event. Temps there will be below normal, but we think that holds only for 24 hours or less.