We’ve got a pretty nice day here today. Sunshine and blue skies start the day as we have good, strong south winds which will help temperatures moderate just a little bit. We need that, after the snow this weekend setting up pretty much exactly where we thought it would. Now we’ve got more precipitation coming as we go through the overnight tonight right on through the day tomorrow. Significant precipitation moving in. I’m liking rainfall totals of a quarter to one inch across about 75%-80% of the state.
We are changing the way this system is setting up going forward now, as we see most of the action from tomorrow done that by midnight tomorrow night and early Wednesday. At this point, it does look like we’re going to squeeze out a mostly dry day on Wednesday. To me, it doesn’t look like we’re going to be bright and sunny, but rather kind of gray kind of cloudy as we deal with this in-between kind of set up.
Moving into Thursday, we start with clouds over most of the state maybe some spits and sprinkles south. Another wave of moisture that moves a northward overnight Thursday night through Friday into the early parts of Saturday. I think we can see quarter to three quarter inch rainfall totals over about 90% of the state. This will be drawn out over a good 36 hour stretch. I won’t rule out some heavier thunderstorms Friday night and early Saturday morning down in southwestern parts of Indiana; we’ll have to see how that plays out. We will see a good strong south wind coming around the backside of that system. So, as we go through the rest of Saturday midday and afternoon we should be seeing a dryer stretch.
Our next batch of precipitation will come Sunday night right on into Monday. I think for Monday we have to keep an eye out for a few hundredths to about three to four tenths of an inch across 60% of the state. This will be a nice a sagging front that comes through from northwest to southeast. With that kind of movement though, we are going to be seeing colder air come in as well. There’s a good chance we start off the first full week of April with another push of cold air in out of the northwest. Not what we want to hear, but it looks like it’s on the way. We see most of that moisture clear the southern part of the state by late Monday evening. Tuesday, the 3rd, through the 4th and 5th we’re looking at some pretty nice weather. Getting closer to the 6th we should see our next wave of action coming in from the west.
The extended forecast window shows that we have two more fronts in the 11 to 16 day forecast window. They may not be carrying heavy amounts of moisture, but moisture nonetheless. Still, looks like we’ve got a pattern setting up here that’s not conducive to a lot of early plant talk.
With regard to temperatures here over the next 10 days to 2 weeks, I think we’re going to be pushing temperatures back to normal and slightly above normal levels. Starting up the first full week of April, we’ve got another push of cold air coming in from the north and west.