The forecast pattern is unchanged this morning, with dry weather in full control for today, tomorrow and most of Saturday. We still have some scattered showers that will try to develop over the weekend, and timing is a little uncertain…it could be as early as Saturday afternoon or as late as Sunday night. But, the outcome is still the same: minor rains followed by a return to mostly dry weather for a large part of next week. Temperatures will be above normal the next few days, and then normal to above normal next week. The warm air will be the wild card in when action starts this weekend. This morning, we are going to keep our timing mostly the same. We will keep an eye out Saturday evening for a few showers and thunderstorms spreading north across the state, but in general, most of our precipitation that happens will move through on Sunday. However, overall moisture for the holiday weekend looks to be less. The best chance of rain in Indiana will be Sunday through midnight. Rain coverage will be around 70% of the state. We expect rain totals for the entirety of Sunday to be from a few hundredths to no more than half an inch, and a tenth or two will be the most frequent measurement. Moisture is off to the east for Memorial Day on Monday, and we should see a mostly dry day there as well. So overall, this forecast looks good for drying, and for enjoyment of the weekend. The map above shows rain totals through Sunday overnight.
Next week we are keeping dry weather in for the Tuesday-Thursday time frame. A tropical storm looks to move into Louisiana and will not have the strength to move up into the eastern corn belt. Our next system arrives later on Friday the 1st, lasting into early the 3rd, Rain totals from the first early wave are minor at .25”-.5” over 60% of the state, but we are seeing signs of a second push that could bring up to 1 inch for the overnight of the 2nd into early the 3rd. That wave would push rain totals for the event to 90% of Indiana.
For the rest of the 11-16-day window we see a dry start to the week of the 4th, but still have a minor front working in around midweek that week, for the 6th. The front can bring up to half an inch of moisture with 70% coverage. Temps remain mostly normal to slightly above normal for the period.