No real significant change in our forecast this morning. Rains look heavier this weekend and perhaps a little lighter early next week, but overall, we still see rain coming on the days we laid out yesterday. We should see a little more sunshine over the state today, although we can see low clouds and fog this morning. Some lake enhanced clouds can pop up over the northern part of the state through the day as well, but new precipitation is not expected
Mostly sunny and dry for tomorrow, Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) and Friday. Temps will move slightly higher on tomorrow but will see better moves up for thanksgiving and Black Friday. We should see temps above normal for the last part of the week and weekend. Clouds will start to build in SW Indiana later Friday afternoon. Thanksgiving Day travel will be trouble free, at least from the weather part of the equation.
Rain arrives overnight Friday night and continues through Saturday. We are increasing rain totals to .25”-.9” over 100% of the state. There is plenty of moisture headed our way. We still feel all rains will be done here by sunset Saturday night. We will be dry Sunday but think that clouds will be dominant that day too, since we will be stuck in-between waves of moisture.
Rain is back by mid to late morning and continues through Tuesday. We are going to leave rain totals at our current levels of up to .6” of liquid to 90% of the state. We still think that a mix or change over to snow can happen toward the end of activity Tuesday, but we are less concerned about any kind of worthwhile snow event this morning. That means overall, we are taking our moisture down just a bit from yesterdays combined rain and snow forecast. However, we are not changing our thoughts on the cold air coming behind…this system will take temps back to below normal levels statewide for the balance of the week. Light snow can continue off and on through next Wednesday morning from US 24 northward. The map at right shows potential combined precipitation (liquid equivalent) through the early week event next week.
The extended period looks a little drier this morning, but we still don’t want to rule out a bit of moisture around the 29th. Still, the better chances of moisture develop closer to the start of December, with some strengthening of a system around December 1, which we are monitoring for any signs of developing into a bigger even for the 2nd and 3rd. For now, though we just continue to watch it. Temps through the 11-16 day period will be below normal.