A strong cold front moved into the state late yesterday and will be exiting the state today. Most of the moisture today will be over the northern half of the state. We won’t rule out some action south, but the majority of the rains will be north of I-70, and honestly, the best rains will be north of US 24. By later this afternoon rain will be done in all locations.
No change in the forecast behind this system. Dry weather is in for tomorrow, Friday and Saturday. We may have some clouds lingering a bit tomorrow, but no new precipitation. Winds turn south and southwest on the backside of high pressure on Friday, and that will pump temperatures up again. The strong winds will provide good drying potential for later Friday and Saturday.
Our next system is still on the way for Sunday, but we do not see as strong of moisture along and north of the cold front this morning. That means we think the best rains through Sunday morning and midday will be north, up into the great lakes, and we will continue to see very strong southwest winds ahead of the cold front. That front arrives later Sunday afternoon and goes through the overnight. Better rains develop along the cold front, since we will not see moisture wrung out of the warm atmospheric profile ahead of it. So, we look for rains of .25”-.75” over about 80% of the state from Sunday late afternoon through early, early Monday morning. The frontal timing really hasn’t changed, and the system itself hasn’t changed…its more just tweaking of geographical coverage. These type of systems at this time of year usually yields more squirelliness in system details. We look for the air mass behind this late weekend system to be a good deal cooler.
We continue to see dry weather for all of next week. Monday through Saturday we should see sunshine and blue skies. Temps will start the week cooler, near normal at least, but we will see a slow build again to above normal levels by late in the week next week. In the extended period, our next system is delayed just a bit, holding off until the 22nd into the 23rd. That will extend our window for harvest next week! However, when that front does show up, it still is on track to have up to .75” rain totals over about 80% of the state.