Home Weather Ryan Martin’s Indiana Ag Forecast for October 16, 2018

Ryan Martin’s Indiana Ag Forecast for October 16, 2018


Very easy and relatively short forecast this morning, mostly due to the fact that we have only one significant rain threat between now and the end of the month. So, lets get right to it.

We are off to a very frosty start this morning in parts of the state, with temps in the lower to middle 30s over a large part of the region from I-70 northward. We are not terming this a hard freeze, despite some of the freeze warnings that were issued for overnight, because we did not dive wholly into the 20s, and for the most part, the amount of time spent below freezing was limited to only a couple of hours. Still, the frost this morning likely did do in tender vegetation, and I know my tomatoes are done for this morning! Still, sunshine will dominate today, and we should rebound a bit through the coming days.

We are dry generally today through the end of next weekend (the 27th). The only period of time we really have to watch in there will be overnight this Friday night into early Saturday. We think we will see a bit of cloud cover increasing Friday afternoon, and there is a chance for a spit or sprinkle overnight this Friday. We think the available moisture will not be enough to hold together given the very dry atmosphere this little wave is moving into, but we will watch it still. That is the only area of concern I have in this dry stretch as of this morning.

Rains move into the state for next Sunday, the 28th, and they likely linger into Monday, the 29th. Rain totals can be from .25”-1” with coverage at 80% of the state. The map shows a snapshot of action for Sunday morning. Then, we return to dry, mostly sunny weather behind that event for the 30th and 31st.

Temperatures will average a bit below normal through a large part of the next 2 weeks. We are below normal today through Friday, then near normal this Saturday. We see daytime highs go back below normal for Sunday and Monday, before seeing a bit of south flow overnight next Monday night into Tuesday, taking temps above normal ahead of Tuesday morning. That will be short lived, though, as we go back below normal for next Tuesday afternoon through next Friday. Finally, we get some warmer than normal air in ahead of our rain event on the 27th, and that warmer air holds through the end of the month.

That’s it in a nutshell this morning…a pretty good forecast for seeing harvest resume in Indiana.