Dry weather returns this week, and our overall forecast features little change from our last update last Friday. Rains over the weekend were as anticipated Saturday, but we saw higher totals and an earlier arrival of rain on Friday than we were looking for. Still, moisture totals did not promote large scale harvest delays, as many areas were at least able to try corn again by Sunday afternoon, and we should see all crops able to be worked in the next 24 hours.
Dry today through Friday morning. Temps will be near to a bit below normal this week. Sunshine will dominate, and we should see excellent drying. Temps will be in the upper 50s and 60s today and tomorrow, pulling back to the 50s the rest of the week.
Clouds start to build Friday. We will be dry in the morning but are advancing moisture potential about 12 hour or so, to allow for a few scattered showers from later Friday afternoon into Friday evening. The rain chances continue off an on through Saturday and Sunday. However, moisture totals are not nearly as impressive as what we were seeing last week. We are pulling action back significantly this morning, expecting combined rain totals for the Friday late afternoon through Sunday period at a few hundredths to .4” but still over 90% of the state. The heavy rains are likely going to stay south of the Ohio river. The map at right shows cumulative rain totals for the system, as we expect it now, for the entire weekend.
Clouds hold next Monday, and sunshine will be limited. But we see no new precipitation there, and Tuesday looks dry as well. Temps should be slightly above normal.
We are inserting scattered showers for midweek next week on Wednesday. The system is not overly impressive, and arrives from the NW. Right now, we will keep rain totals at under half an inch, but we may have to hold moisture in through Thursday as we start off the extended forecast window
In the extended 11-16 day period, we are dry Friday and Saturday morning, and then see a strong low coming in from the west for late Saturday the 3rd and going through Sunday the 4th. This system looks to be rather rain laden, and our initial thoughts are for rains from .5”-1.5” over the entire state. However, there is plenty of time for this system to modify and perhaps decrease in precipitation potential. Temperatures in the extended period should stay above normal. In fact, when the rains come for the weekend of the 3rd and 4th, we could be 10-15 degrees above normal, and may have to talk thunderstorms! A quick look behind our 16-day window still suggests rain.