Home Weather Ryan Martin’s Indiana Ag Forecast for October 3, 2018

Ryan Martin’s Indiana Ag Forecast for October 3, 2018


Dry weather today. But, we are on the cusp of a significantly wetter weather pattern compared to what we have seen recently. The southern half of the state will be drier than the north, but we could see harvest effectively come to a stop after today in parts of the state for at least 10 days. Go as long as you can as hard as you can on harvest today.

Rains move into the state tomorrow. We are reducing our Thursday rain totals a little bit, but actually bumping slightly our Friday rain totals while leaving coverage about the same. The next overall result is a slightly lower overall 2-day rain total, but not enough to get too super excited about. Rains tomorrow will be from .1”-.5” with coverage at 80% of the state, and then rains Friday will be from a few hundredths to .4” with 50% coverage.

Unfortunately, we are putting rain in our forecast on Saturday, but a slight positive will be that we are only looking for those rains over parts of the state. While we still lean drier than most forecast models, we can’t escape the likelihood of rains over northern Indiana Saturday afternoon and evening. We are inserting .25”-1” rains for areas from SR 32 northward ahead of sunset Saturday afternoon and evening. We think there is some thunderstorm potential in there, as an old frontal boundary should still be lingering in the area. South of I-70, there is no rain threat Saturday.

Dry for the balance of the weekend and the first part of next week, Sunday through Tuesday, statewide. We should see good dry down as temps stay normal to above normal, but we don’t think the drying can overcome the likely rain totals we see combined before we get there, at least over the northern half of the state. If we do dry down, it will take into at least Monday afternoon to get things right in the wettest areas.

A very wet period kicks off Wednesday of next week. We can see rains 4 days straight from Wednesday through next Saturday. The heaviest rains come Thursday and Saturday but combined we can see half to 2.5” with coverage at 100% of the state. This will shut harvest down for a bit longer. Temps also drop behind that system, moving to normal and below normal levels. The map at right shows rain totals through the coming 10 days, ending with next Saturday.

The rest of the extended period goes drier, as Canadian high pressure settles in over most of the corn belt. We should be dry from next Sunday on through the following Thursday, at least a 5-day dry stretch. But, it will be needed after all the rain the second half of next week, and with cooler temps, we likely take longer to dry down and evaporate that moisture too.

So, as we said at the start…go as hard as you can today, as opportunities for fieldwork become tougher to find after today.