Dry weather today should come with less cloud cover. Yesterday clouds and pesky moisture managed to get in over parts of the state, even though we were dominated by high pressure. Today we are on the backside of the high and should see better south winds moving clouds away. No new precipitation is expected, and we should keep the dry weather in for most of the state for Saturday as well. Moisture overnight tonight into tomorrow morning is shifting farther north and should stay in Michigan, but we do see minor precipitation trying to move into the northern third of the state overnight tomorrow night into Sunday morning. Moisture totals will be limited to a few hundredths to .15” from US 24 northward. The rest of the state sees nothing. Dry weather holds through Monday and early Tuesday morning.
Our next system brings scattered showers for Tuesday. That should bring a few hundredths to .5” to about 60% of the state. The heaviest rains (near that half inch level) will likely show up in north central and NE IN. We are going to keep the second push of moisture from midnight Wednesday night through Thursday. That wave brings .1”-.5” to about 75% of the state. That front pushes through from NW to the southeast. All action is done by Friday, except down in farm southern parts of the state, near the Ohio River. There, we can see showers continue through midday and early afternoon Friday. The map above shows combined rains from the two systems next week.
The weekend looks cooler, and we may have trouble breaking the clouds up. We do not see a lot of new precipitation threats for Saturday and Sunday right now, but we also may be looking at a few hits and miss spits and sprinkles. The cold air really starts to drag in as the weekend finishes and we start the second full week of October.
The extended forecast still has a very strong front for the 9th-11th. Data suggests that the heaviest rains and the strongest part of the system will pass by to our west and north, but this far out, we would not jump on that solution yet. This system is very strong and could have some 1-2.5” rain potential with it if we hit the strongest part. We follow that up with another slower moving, but the less heavy system for the 13th, which could bring up to half an inch of rain, slowly lifting in from the SW. Temps likely cool off quickly behind the system on the 10th and 11th.