Mother Nature is trying very hard this morning to not quite be done with moisture over the state. We have a big block of cloud cover around over the northern half of the state, and we just cant rule out a few spits and sprinkles into mid morning from I-70 northward. However we must stress that we think most of the action today will be just clouds, and if any precipitation does fall…it will be very minor…a few hundredths at best. And again…it should be completely gone by mid to late morning, if not sooner.
Enjoy the next two days – today and tomorrow – because we have a major cold front that comes blasting in overnight Saturday night into Sunday. We still look for some 15-20 degree differences (or more) in high temps from Saturday to Sunday. Most of the air mass change will come dry…no precipitation is expected. But…we will need to bundle back up as we start the work week. The European model tries to bring some action into the northern tier counties of Indiana early Monday as the cold air really settles in…but we actually look for that to be more of a WI/MI system…and do not think there will be much action down here. Still…if you live along and north of US 30…it might be something to keep an eye on as we move toward Monday.
A better frontal complex moves in for midweek next week. Models are trying to spread this out over a longer period, staring it early Wednesday and keeping moisture around into midday Thursday. We are not looking for that. We look for most action from Wednesday midday through midnight. Rain totals still fall between .2 and .8” and we will see coverage at about 90% of the state. This will be the first good rain potential that a large part of the state has seen in weeks (excluding southern Indiana). Temps will be cool, but at this point we have not concern about snowflakes.
Cold air looks to be more aggressive over the state from late next week through early April, with several deep cold air incursions coming. We posted a map of this yesterday…and the extended models look similar today. I count at least 3 well below normal pushes of cold air from next weekend through the 6th. We also see some precipitation threats preceding each cold air push…with a system in early April that could have some potential at giving significant rains. So stay tuned.
Overall, our nice, mild days are numbered…and most of next week will feel much more like late march is supposed to. .